مدرسة الاحتمالات

Southampton v Arsenal

البداية: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Southampton (المضيف)

التنبؤ 13.04%7.67السعر العادل
EV +10.88%
الأفضلية +1.28%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.158%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.50%13.02%13.02%14.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.257.357.308.5016.00%13.61%13.70%11.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arsenal (الضيف)

التنبؤ 68.10%1.47السعر العادل
EV -1.26%
الأفضلية -0.867%
Kelly -2.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.06%68.16%68.05%70.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.371.361.4575.76%72.80%73.53%68.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.86%5.30السعر العادل
EV -0.060%
الأفضلية -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.68%18.82%18.93%21.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.955.005.3025.00%20.22%20.00%18.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 18:25
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 18:24
Coolbet8.30I 12.05%NM 11.80%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.99%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 18:49
LowVig.ag8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:00
BetOnline.ag8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:25
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:25
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:25
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:24
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:24
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Marathon Bet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.55%EV +0.443%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.51%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:19
Pinnacle7.59I 13.18%NM 12.70%EV -0.992%E -0.131%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.86%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.43%EV -1.38%E -0.264%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 18:45
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 18:20
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 18:09
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:39
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:00
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:49
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:49
BetUS7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -4.78%E -0.654%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:54
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV -5.43%E -0.749%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:49
Fliff7.05I 14.18%NM 12.96%EV -8.04%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.20%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:50
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:49
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:30
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:00
Unibet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:35
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 18:49
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:39
Codere (IT)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -11.30%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:29
1xBet6.79I 14.73%NM 14.29%EV -11.43%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.91%EV -1.26%E -0.867%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.80%EV -2.70%E -0.523%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 18:55
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 18:30
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:24
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:24
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -24.57%E -6.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-04 17:44
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -18.47%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.37%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-04-04 18:54
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%0.6%2026-04-04 18:55
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.9%2026-04-04 18:55