Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Southampton v Arsenal
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Southampton (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 13.04%7.67kurs godziwy
EV +10.88%
Przewaga +1.28%
Kelly +1.45%
Wzrost +0.158%
przy maksymalnym kursie 8.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.50%13.02%13.02%14.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.257.357.308.5016.00%13.61%13.70%11.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Arsenal (Goście)
Prognoza 68.10%1.47kurs godziwy
EV -1.26%
Przewaga -0.867%
Kelly -2.79%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.06%68.16%68.05%70.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.371.361.4575.76%72.80%73.53%68.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 18.86%5.30kurs godziwy
EV -0.060%
Przewaga -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.68%18.82%18.93%21.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.955.005.3025.00%20.22%20.00%18.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Coolbet | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.80%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.99%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Casumo | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| betPARX | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| TABtouch | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.55%EV +0.443%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.51%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 18:19 |
| Pinnacle | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.70%EV -0.992%E -0.131%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.86%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.43%EV -1.38%E -0.264%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| DraftKings | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Bet Victor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| FanDuel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betsson | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| NordicBet | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| BetUS | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -4.78%E -0.654%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Everygame | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV -5.43%E -0.749%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Fliff | 7.05I 14.18%NM 12.96%EV -8.04%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.20%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Neds | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| BetMGM | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| theScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -11.30%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 6.79I 14.73%NM 14.29%EV -11.43%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.91%EV -1.26%E -0.867%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.80%EV -2.70%E -0.523%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -24.57%E -6.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -18.47%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.37%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Matchbook | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |