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Southampton v Arsenal
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Southampton (Хозяева)
Прогноз 13.04%7.67справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.88%
Преимущество +1.28%
Kelly +1.45%
Рост +0.158%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.50%13.02%13.02%14.66%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.257.357.308.5016.00%13.61%13.70%11.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Arsenal (Гости)
Прогноз 68.10%1.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.26%
Преимущество -0.867%
Kelly -2.79%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.06%68.16%68.05%70.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.371.361.4575.76%72.80%73.53%68.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 18.86%5.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.060%
Преимущество -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.68%18.82%18.93%21.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.955.005.3025.00%20.22%20.00%18.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Southampton (Хозяева): 13.04%; Arsenal (Гости): 68.10%; Ничья: 18.86%. Для исхода «Southampton (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.67. 15 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +10.88%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +10.88%E +1.28%K +1.45%G +0.158% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.80%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.99%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +8.27%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.094% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.09%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.60%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +4.36%E +0.545%K +0.622%G +0.027% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.55%EV +0.443%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.51%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.70%EV -0.992%E -0.131%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.86%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.43%EV -1.38%E -0.264%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.17%E -0.289%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.49%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -3.47%E -0.469%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -3.98%E -2.82%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.88%EV -4.78%E -0.654%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -6.66%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV -5.43%E -0.749%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.05I 14.18%NM 12.96%EV -8.04%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.20%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.84%EV -8.55%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.00%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.43%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.69%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -11.30%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.72%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.79I 14.73%NM 14.29%EV -11.43%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.91%EV -1.26%E -0.867%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.80%EV -2.70%E -0.523%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -11.95%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.37%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -0.060%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.26%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.21%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -24.57%E -6.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -18.47%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.37%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -3.83%E -0.751%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |