赔率学院

Chelsea v Port Vale

开赛时间: 2026-04-04 16:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Chelsea (主队)

预测 90.79%1.10公平赔率
EV -1.95%
优势 -1.81%
Kelly -24.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.08

博彩公司预测分布
88.87%90.78%90.91%92.65%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.98%96.15%92.59%MIN均值中位数MAX

Port Vale (客队)

预测 2.66%37.57公平赔率
EV +35.73%
优势 +0.701%
Kelly +0.715%
增长率 +0.255%

假设最高赔率为 51.00

博彩公司预测分布
1.90%2.65%2.67%4.02%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
23.0038.6141.0051.004.35%2.59%2.44%1.96%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 6.55%15.26公平赔率
EV +37.58%
优势 +1.79%
Kelly +1.88%
增长率 +0.706%

假设最高赔率为 21.00

博彩公司预测分布
4.54%6.57%6.42%7.60%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
12.5014.9815.0021.008.00%6.67%6.67%4.76%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +37.58%E +1.79%K +1.88%G +0.706%4.8%2026-04-04 16:09
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.77%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.26%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +24.48%E +1.29%K +1.36%G +0.333%5.8%2026-04-04 16:09
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%3.1%2026-04-04 16:10
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%3.1%2026-04-04 16:10
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%4.5%2026-04-04 16:10
theScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%5.9%2026-04-04 16:09
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 91.59%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%38.50I 2.60%NM 2.52%EV +2.46%E +0.064%K +0.066%G +0.002%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042%3.0%2026-04-04 16:01
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 92.23%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.87%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042%3.3%2026-04-04 16:01
Coolbet1.08I 92.59%NM 90.97%EV -1.95%E -1.81%K -24.37%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%1.8%2026-04-04 15:30
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 91.79%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.8%2026-04-04 16:01
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
LowVig.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 15:44
BetOnline.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:09
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:10
888sport1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 90.32%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:10
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 15:44
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:09
BoyleSports1.04I 96.15%NM 90.48%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.80%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.43%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.42%EV -28.14%E -1.04%K -1.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:10
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 90.31%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.09%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV -5.00%E -0.345%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:09
BetUS1.03I 97.09%NM 90.60%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%33.25I 3.01%NM 2.81%EV -11.51%E -0.346%K -0.357%G +0.000%14.15I 7.07%NM 6.59%EV -7.30%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.18%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -8.28%E -0.591%K -0.637%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 89.58%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV -33.47%E -1.34%K -1.39%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -11.55%E -0.856%K -0.924%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
William Hill1.05I 95.24%NM 90.10%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.69%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.05%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:10
Everygame1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 14:59
Codere (IT)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.11%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.68%EV -6.85%E -0.196%K -0.202%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Betway1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:09
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.80%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:08
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.33%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%37.00I 2.70%NM 2.51%EV -1.53%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -38.79%E -1.69%K -1.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:09
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:10
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 92.96%54.95I 1.82%NM 1.81%19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23%0.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 15:50
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.31%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%1.1%2026-04-04 16:09
Kalshi1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.93%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%2.3%2026-04-04 15:49