La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chelsea v Port Vale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chelsea (Local)
Predicción 90.79%1.10momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -24.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
88.87%90.78%90.91%92.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.98%96.15%92.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Port Vale (Visitante)
Predicción 2.66%37.57momio equitativo
EV +35.73%
Ventaja +0.701%
Kelly +0.715%
Crecimiento +0.255%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 51.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
1.90%2.65%2.67%4.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
23.0038.6141.0051.004.35%2.59%2.44%1.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 6.55%15.26momio equitativo
EV +37.58%
Ventaja +1.79%
Kelly +1.88%
Crecimiento +0.706%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 21.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.54%6.57%6.42%7.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
12.5014.9815.0021.008.00%6.67%6.67%4.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +37.58%E +1.79%K +1.88%G +0.706% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.77%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.26%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +24.48%E +1.29%K +1.36%G +0.333% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.59%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 38.50I 2.60%NM 2.52%EV +2.46%E +0.064%K +0.066%G +0.002% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.23%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.87%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Coolbet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.97%EV -1.95%E -1.81%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Unibet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Casumo | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| betPARX | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.79%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| 888sport | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Coral | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.32%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.48%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.80%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.43%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.42%EV -28.14%E -1.04%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.31%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.09%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV -5.00%E -0.345%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| BetUS | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.60%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 33.25I 3.01%NM 2.81%EV -11.51%E -0.346%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 14.15I 7.07%NM 6.59%EV -7.30%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.18%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -8.28%E -0.591%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.58%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV -33.47%E -1.34%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -11.55%E -0.856%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Neds | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| William Hill | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.10%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.69%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.05%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Everygame | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.11%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.68%EV -6.85%E -0.196%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betway | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.80%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 16:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.33%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 37.00I 2.70%NM 2.51%EV -1.53%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -38.79%E -1.69%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betsson | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.96% | 54.95I 1.82%NM 1.81% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.31% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Kalshi | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18% | 33.33I 3.00%NM 2.93% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |