مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Chelsea v Port Vale
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Chelsea (المضيف)
التنبؤ 90.79%1.10السعر العادل
EV -1.95%
الأفضلية -1.81%
Kelly -24.37%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.08
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
88.87%90.78%90.91%92.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.98%96.15%92.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Port Vale (الضيف)
التنبؤ 2.66%37.57السعر العادل
EV +35.73%
الأفضلية +0.701%
Kelly +0.715%
النمو +0.255%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 51.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
1.90%2.65%2.67%4.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
23.0038.6141.0051.004.35%2.59%2.44%1.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 6.55%15.26السعر العادل
EV +37.58%
الأفضلية +1.79%
Kelly +1.88%
النمو +0.706%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 21.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
4.54%6.57%6.42%7.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
12.5014.9815.0021.008.00%6.67%6.67%4.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +37.58%E +1.79%K +1.88%G +0.706% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.77%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.26%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +24.48%E +1.29%K +1.36%G +0.333% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.59%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 38.50I 2.60%NM 2.52%EV +2.46%E +0.064%K +0.066%G +0.002% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.23%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.87%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Coolbet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.97%EV -1.95%E -1.81%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Unibet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Casumo | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| betPARX | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.79%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| 888sport | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Coral | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.32%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.48%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.80%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.43%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.42%EV -28.14%E -1.04%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.31%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.09%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV -5.00%E -0.345%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| BetUS | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.60%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 33.25I 3.01%NM 2.81%EV -11.51%E -0.346%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 14.15I 7.07%NM 6.59%EV -7.30%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.18%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -8.28%E -0.591%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.58%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV -33.47%E -1.34%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -11.55%E -0.856%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Neds | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| William Hill | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.10%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.69%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.05%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Everygame | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.11%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.68%EV -6.85%E -0.196%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betway | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.80%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 16:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.33%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 37.00I 2.70%NM 2.51%EV -1.53%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -38.79%E -1.69%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betsson | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.96% | 54.95I 1.82%NM 1.81% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.31% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Kalshi | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18% | 33.33I 3.00%NM 2.93% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |