StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chelsea v Port Vale

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-04 16:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chelsea (Heim)

Prognose 90.79%1.10faire Quote
EV -1.95%
Vorteil -1.81%
Kelly -24.37%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
88.87%90.78%90.91%92.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.98%96.15%92.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Port Vale (Auswärts)

Prognose 2.66%37.57faire Quote
EV +35.73%
Vorteil +0.701%
Kelly +0.715%
Wachstum +0.255%

bei einer Höchstquote von 51.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
1.90%2.65%2.67%4.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
23.0038.6141.0051.004.35%2.59%2.44%1.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 6.55%15.26faire Quote
EV +37.58%
Vorteil +1.79%
Kelly +1.88%
Wachstum +0.706%

bei einer Höchstquote von 21.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.54%6.57%6.42%7.60%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
12.5014.9815.0021.008.00%6.67%6.67%4.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Chelsea (Heim): 90.79%; Port Vale (Auswärts): 2.66%; Unentschieden: 6.55%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 15.26. 17 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 21.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +37.58%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +37.58%E +1.79%K +1.88%G +0.706%4.8%2026-04-04 16:09
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.77%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.26%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +24.48%E +1.29%K +1.36%G +0.333%5.8%2026-04-04 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%3.1%2026-04-04 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%3.1%2026-04-04 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%4.5%2026-04-04 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%5.9%2026-04-04 16:09
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.59%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%38.50I 2.60%NM 2.52%EV +2.46%E +0.064%K +0.066%G +0.002%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042%3.0%2026-04-04 16:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.23%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.87%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042%3.3%2026-04-04 16:01
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 90.97%EV -1.95%E -1.81%K -24.37%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%1.8%2026-04-04 15:30
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.79%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.8%2026-04-04 16:01
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 15:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:10
888sport🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.32%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 15:44
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:09
BoyleSports🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.48%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.80%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 16:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.43%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.42%EV -28.14%E -1.04%K -1.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.31%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.09%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV -5.00%E -0.345%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:09
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.60%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%33.25I 3.01%NM 2.81%EV -11.51%E -0.346%K -0.357%G +0.000%14.15I 7.07%NM 6.59%EV -7.30%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.18%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -8.28%E -0.591%K -0.637%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.58%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV -33.47%E -1.34%K -1.39%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -11.55%E -0.856%K -0.924%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.10%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.69%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.05%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:10
Everygame🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 14:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.11%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.68%EV -6.85%E -0.196%K -0.202%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Betway🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:09
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.80%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.33%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%37.00I 2.70%NM 2.51%EV -1.53%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -38.79%E -1.69%K -1.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:09
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 92.96%54.95I 1.82%NM 1.81%19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23%0.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 15:50
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.31%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%1.1%2026-04-04 16:09
Kalshi1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.93%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%2.3%2026-04-04 15:49