Die Schule der Quoten

Chelsea v Port Vale

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-04 16:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chelsea (Heim)

Prognose 90.79%1.10faire Quote
EV -1.95%
Vorteil -1.81%
Kelly -24.37%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
88.87%90.78%90.91%92.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.98%96.15%92.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Port Vale (Auswärts)

Prognose 2.66%37.57faire Quote
EV +35.73%
Vorteil +0.701%
Kelly +0.715%
Wachstum +0.255%

bei einer Höchstquote von 51.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
1.90%2.65%2.67%4.02%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
23.0038.6141.0051.004.35%2.59%2.44%1.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 6.55%15.26faire Quote
EV +37.58%
Vorteil +1.79%
Kelly +1.88%
Wachstum +0.706%

bei einer Höchstquote von 21.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.54%6.57%6.42%7.60%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
12.5014.9815.0021.008.00%6.67%6.67%4.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +37.58%E +1.79%K +1.88%G +0.706%4.8%2026-04-04 16:09
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.77%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.26%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +24.48%E +1.29%K +1.36%G +0.333%5.8%2026-04-04 16:09
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%3.1%2026-04-04 16:10
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%3.1%2026-04-04 16:10
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%4.5%2026-04-04 16:10
theScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%5.9%2026-04-04 16:09
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 91.59%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%38.50I 2.60%NM 2.52%EV +2.46%E +0.064%K +0.066%G +0.002%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042%3.0%2026-04-04 16:01
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 92.23%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.87%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042%3.3%2026-04-04 16:01
Coolbet1.08I 92.59%NM 90.97%EV -1.95%E -1.81%K -24.37%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%1.8%2026-04-04 15:30
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 91.79%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.8%2026-04-04 16:01
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
LowVig.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 15:44
BetOnline.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:09
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:10
888sport1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 90.32%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:10
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 15:44
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:09
BoyleSports1.04I 96.15%NM 90.48%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.80%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.43%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.42%EV -28.14%E -1.04%K -1.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:10
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 90.31%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.09%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV -5.00%E -0.345%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:09
BetUS1.03I 97.09%NM 90.60%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%33.25I 3.01%NM 2.81%EV -11.51%E -0.346%K -0.357%G +0.000%14.15I 7.07%NM 6.59%EV -7.30%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.18%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -8.28%E -0.591%K -0.637%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 89.58%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV -33.47%E -1.34%K -1.39%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -11.55%E -0.856%K -0.924%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
William Hill1.05I 95.24%NM 90.10%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.69%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.05%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:10
Everygame1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 14:59
Codere (IT)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.11%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.68%EV -6.85%E -0.196%K -0.202%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Betway1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:09
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.80%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:08
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.33%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%37.00I 2.70%NM 2.51%EV -1.53%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -38.79%E -1.69%K -1.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:09
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:10
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 92.96%54.95I 1.82%NM 1.81%19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23%0.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 15:50
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.31%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%1.1%2026-04-04 16:09
Kalshi1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.93%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%2.3%2026-04-04 15:49