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Chelsea v Port Vale
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Chelsea (Хозяева)
Прогноз 90.79%1.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.95%
Преимущество -1.81%
Kelly -24.37%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.08
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
88.87%90.78%90.91%92.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.98%96.15%92.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Port Vale (Гости)
Прогноз 2.66%37.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +35.73%
Преимущество +0.701%
Kelly +0.715%
Рост +0.255%
при максимальном коэффициенте 51.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
1.90%2.65%2.67%4.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
23.0038.6141.0051.004.35%2.59%2.44%1.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 6.55%15.26справедливый коэффициент
EV +37.58%
Преимущество +1.79%
Kelly +1.88%
Рост +0.706%
при максимальном коэффициенте 21.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
4.54%6.57%6.42%7.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
12.5014.9815.0021.008.00%6.67%6.67%4.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chelsea (Хозяева): 90.79%; Port Vale (Гости): 2.66%; Ничья: 6.55%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 15.26. 17 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 21.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +37.58%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +37.58%E +1.79%K +1.88%G +0.706% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.77%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.26%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +24.48%E +1.29%K +1.36%G +0.333% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.59%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 38.50I 2.60%NM 2.52%EV +2.46%E +0.064%K +0.066%G +0.002% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.23%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.87%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.97%EV -1.95%E -1.81%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.79%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.32%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.48%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.80%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.43%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.42%EV -28.14%E -1.04%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.31%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.09%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV -5.00%E -0.345%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.60%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 33.25I 3.01%NM 2.81%EV -11.51%E -0.346%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 14.15I 7.07%NM 6.59%EV -7.30%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.18%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -8.28%E -0.591%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.58%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV -33.47%E -1.34%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -11.55%E -0.856%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.10%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.69%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.05%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.11%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.68%EV -6.85%E -0.196%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.80%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 16:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.33%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 37.00I 2.70%NM 2.51%EV -1.53%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -38.79%E -1.69%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.96% | 54.95I 1.82%NM 1.81% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.31% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18% | 33.33I 3.00%NM 2.93% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |