Szkoła Kursów

Chelsea v Port Vale

Początek: 2026-04-04 16:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

47 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Chelsea (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 90.79%1.10kurs godziwy
EV -1.95%
Przewaga -1.81%
Kelly -24.37%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.08

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
88.87%90.78%90.91%92.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.98%96.15%92.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Port Vale (Goście)

Prognoza 2.66%37.57kurs godziwy
EV +35.73%
Przewaga +0.701%
Kelly +0.715%
Wzrost +0.255%

przy maksymalnym kursie 51.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
1.90%2.65%2.67%4.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
23.0038.6141.0051.004.35%2.59%2.44%1.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 6.55%15.26kurs godziwy
EV +37.58%
Przewaga +1.79%
Kelly +1.88%
Wzrost +0.706%

przy maksymalnym kursie 21.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
4.54%6.57%6.42%7.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
12.5014.9815.0021.008.00%6.67%6.67%4.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +37.58%E +1.79%K +1.88%G +0.706%4.8%2026-04-04 16:09
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.77%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.26%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +24.48%E +1.29%K +1.36%G +0.333%5.8%2026-04-04 16:09
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%3.1%2026-04-04 16:10
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%3.1%2026-04-04 16:10
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%4.5%2026-04-04 16:10
theScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081%5.9%2026-04-04 16:09
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 91.59%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%38.50I 2.60%NM 2.52%EV +2.46%E +0.064%K +0.066%G +0.002%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042%3.0%2026-04-04 16:01
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 92.23%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.87%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042%3.3%2026-04-04 16:01
Coolbet1.08I 92.59%NM 90.97%EV -1.95%E -1.81%K -24.37%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%1.8%2026-04-04 15:30
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 91.79%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%5.8%2026-04-04 16:01
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
LowVig.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 15:44
BetOnline.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:09
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:10
888sport1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 90.32%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:10
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 15:44
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:09
BoyleSports1.04I 96.15%NM 90.48%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.80%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.43%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.42%EV -28.14%E -1.04%K -1.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:10
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 90.31%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.09%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV -5.00%E -0.345%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:09
BetUS1.03I 97.09%NM 90.60%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%33.25I 3.01%NM 2.81%EV -11.51%E -0.346%K -0.357%G +0.000%14.15I 7.07%NM 6.59%EV -7.30%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.18%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -8.28%E -0.591%K -0.637%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 89.58%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV -33.47%E -1.34%K -1.39%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -11.55%E -0.856%K -0.924%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:10
William Hill1.05I 95.24%NM 90.10%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.69%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.05%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:10
Everygame1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 14:59
Codere (IT)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.11%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.68%EV -6.85%E -0.196%K -0.202%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Betway1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:09
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.80%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:08
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.33%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000%37.00I 2.70%NM 2.51%EV -1.53%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -38.79%E -1.69%K -1.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:09
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:10
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 92.96%54.95I 1.82%NM 1.81%19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23%0.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-04 15:50
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.31%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%1.1%2026-04-04 16:09
Kalshi1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.93%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%2.3%2026-04-04 15:49