L’École des cotesChelsea v Port Vale
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chelsea (Local)
Prévision 90.79%1.10cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -24.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.87%90.78%90.91%92.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.041.0899.01%95.98%96.15%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Port Vale (Visiteur)
Prévision 2.66%37.57cote équitable
EV +35.73%
Avantage +0.701%
Kelly +0.715%
Croissance +0.255%
avec la cote maximale 51.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
1.90%2.65%2.67%4.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
23.0038.6141.0051.004.35%2.59%2.44%1.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 6.55%15.26cote équitable
EV +37.58%
Avantage +1.79%
Kelly +1.88%
Croissance +0.706%
avec la cote maximale 21.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.54%6.57%6.42%7.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
12.5014.9815.0021.008.00%6.67%6.67%4.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV +37.58%E +1.79%K +1.88%G +0.706% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.77%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.26%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +24.48%E +1.29%K +1.36%G +0.333% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +11.38%E +0.669%K +0.711%G +0.081% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.59%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 38.50I 2.60%NM 2.52%EV +2.46%E +0.064%K +0.066%G +0.002% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.23%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV +35.73%E +0.701%K +0.715%G +0.255% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.87%EV +8.10%E +0.491%K +0.523%G +0.042% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Coolbet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.97%EV -1.95%E -1.81%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.14%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Unibet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Casumo | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| betPARX | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.79%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 16:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.09%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +4.82%E +0.302%K +0.322%G +0.016% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.20%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.51%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| 888sport | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Coral | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.32%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.48%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.80%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.43%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.42%EV -28.14%E -1.04%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -1.73%E -0.115%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.31%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.09%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV -5.00%E -0.345%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| BetUS | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.60%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 33.25I 3.01%NM 2.81%EV -11.51%E -0.346%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 14.15I 7.07%NM 6.59%EV -7.30%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.18%EV -8.30%E -8.22%K -830.50%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV +9.12%E +0.222%K +0.228%G +0.021% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -8.28%E -0.591%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.58%EV -7.40%E -7.25%K -369.86%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.65%EV -33.47%E -1.34%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -11.55%E -0.856%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Neds | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.44%EV -3.77%E -3.55%K -62.76%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| William Hill | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.10%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV -4.19%E -0.116%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.69%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.05%EV +22.42%E +0.487%K +0.498%G +0.112% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Everygame | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -22.82%E -0.787%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.11%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.68%EV -6.85%E -0.196%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betway | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV -9.51%E -0.280%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.80%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.01%EV -17.50%E -0.564%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 16:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.33%EV -6.49%E -6.30%K -216.31%G +0.000% | 37.00I 2.70%NM 2.51%EV -1.53%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.87%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.53%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -38.79%E -1.69%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -14.83%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betsson | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.47%G +0.000% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.90%EV +33.07%E +0.661%K +0.675%G +0.223% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV -18.11%E -1.45%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.96% | 54.95I 1.82%NM 1.81% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.23% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.48% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.31% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Kalshi | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18% | 33.33I 3.00%NM 2.93% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |