Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Newport County v Rochdale

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Newport County (Local)

Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.57%30.44%30.37%32.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.033.053.2035.09%33.00%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochdale (Visit)

Prediction 41.05%2.44fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.77%41.01%41.04%42.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.252.252.3546.30%44.43%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.57%3.50fair odd
EV +2.85%
Edge +0.792%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.07%28.55%28.59%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.253.6032.26%30.69%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Newport County (Local): 30.38%; Rochdale (Visit): 41.05%; Draw: 28.57%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.60, producing a positive expected value of +2.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV +2.85%E +0.792%K +1.10%G +0.031%6.6%2026-08-14 11:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 11:34
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 09:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 09:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 09:09
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 11:35
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 22:40
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 09:09
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -10.52%E -4.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 09:09
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:30
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 11:34
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:02
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.54%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 11:30
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 10:14
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -12.50%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 11:34
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 09:10
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 09:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 09:09
Pinnacle🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.77%E -0.867%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.46%EV -6.00%E -2.62%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -6.00%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:44
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 00:29
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:04
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -13.41%E -4.70%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-12 17:38
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.50%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-10 14:25
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.82%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 17:15
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 12:54
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 12:54
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 07:38
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.13%EV -6.82%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 00:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:34
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:40
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -10.52%E -4.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 12:15
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 14:34
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-11 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-11 09:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.64%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-11 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -11.34%E -5.25%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -11.34%E -5.25%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%3.1%2026-08-14 16:55
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.95%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%3.5%2026-08-14 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-08-14 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-08-14 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-08-14 17:20

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