Newport County v Rochdale

2026-08-15 11:30 — League 2

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Newport County (Local)

Odds

2.4041.67%Min

2.4740.49%Mean

2.4540.82%Median

2.5738.91%Max

Consensus probabilities

36.04%2.775Min

36.77%2.719Max

36.36%2.750Mean

36.24%2.759Median

36.29%2.756IQM

36.34%2.751Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.57 under the IQM model: 36.29%

EV -6.73%Edge -2.62%Kelly -4.29%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Rochdale (Visit)

Odds

2.4041.67%Min

2.4940.15%Mean

2.4840.32%Median

2.5539.22%Max

Consensus probabilities

35.81%2.793Min

36.36%2.750Max

36.19%2.763Mean

36.20%2.762Median

36.21%2.762IQM

36.18%2.764Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.55 under the IQM model: 36.21%

EV -7.66%Edge -3.00%Kelly -4.94%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2031.25%Min

3.3230.12%Mean

3.3529.85%Median

3.3529.85%Max

Consensus probabilities

26.90%3.718Min

27.78%3.600Max

27.45%3.643Mean

27.56%3.629Median

27.50%3.637IQM

27.48%3.639Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.35 under the IQM model: 27.50%

EV -7.88%Edge -2.35%Kelly -3.35%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Newport County (Local) ▼	Rochdale (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.57I 38.91% NM 36.04%EV -6.73% E -2.62% K -4.29% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 36.32%EV -7.66% E -3.00% K -4.94% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.65%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-02 10:20
Marathon Bet	2.57I 38.91% NM 36.04%EV -6.73% E -2.62% K -4.29% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 36.32%EV -7.66% E -3.00% K -4.94% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.65%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-02 10:19
Codere (IT)	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.52%EV -9.27% E -3.71% K -6.18% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 35.81%EV -7.66% E -3.00% K -4.94% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.67%EV -9.26% E -2.81% K -4.03% G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-06-30 06:29
William Hill	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.11%EV -9.27% E -3.71% K -6.18% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.11%EV -9.47% E -3.79% K -6.31% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.78%EV -10.63% E -3.27% K -4.73% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 10:29
888sport	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.11%EV -9.27% E -3.71% K -6.18% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.11%EV -9.47% E -3.79% K -6.31% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.78%EV -10.63% E -3.27% K -4.73% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.11%EV -9.27% E -3.71% K -6.18% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.11%EV -9.47% E -3.79% K -6.31% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.78%EV -10.63% E -3.27% K -4.73% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.11%EV -9.27% E -3.71% K -6.18% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.11%EV -9.47% E -3.79% K -6.31% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.78%EV -10.63% E -3.27% K -4.73% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 23:39
Unibet	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet (SE)	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:30
LiveScore Bet	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:30
Casumo	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:30
Grosvenor	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet (NL)	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:29
TABtouch	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:29
Virgin Bet	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:29
Svenska Spel	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:29
ATG (SE)	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:29
BetRivers	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.77%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 36.33%EV -10.20% E -4.11% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 26.90%EV -7.88% E -2.35% K -3.35% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.73%EV -11.09% E -4.53% K -7.65% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.00%EV -9.47% E -3.79% K -6.31% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -9.26% E -2.81% K -4.03% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-07-02 10:19
BoyleSports	2.40I 41.67% NM 36.36%EV -12.90% E -5.38% K -9.22% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 36.36%EV -13.09% E -5.46% K -9.35% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 27.27%EV -12.01% E -3.75% K -5.46% G +0.000%	14.6%	2026-06-30 06:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth