The School of Odds

Newport County v Rochdale

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 2

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Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Newport County (Local)

Prediction 36.28%2.76fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%36.27%36.23%36.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.502.6342%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rochdale (Visit)

Prediction 36.14%2.77fair odd
EV -6.02%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%36.13%36.18%36.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.502.6042%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV -6.23%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.90%27.60%27.59%28.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.353.4032%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 07:50
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 09:54
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 12:04
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -8.92%E -3.54%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 00:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -8.92%E -3.54%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 00:34
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 12:05
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-07 09:53
1xBet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -6.77%E -2.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 12:05
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -6.77%E -2.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 12:00
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 12:04
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 12:00
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-07 09:54
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 12:04
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-07 09:49
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 12:29
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 08:38
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 12:55
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 16:35
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 18:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 12:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 23:39
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.45%E -4.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.51%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-07 09:54
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.36%E -4.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-02 10:19
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.25%E -5.52%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-30 06:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%12.4%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25