Язык:Русский
Newport County v Rochdale
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Newport County (Хозяева)
Прогноз 31.81%3.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.98%
Преимущество -0.978%
Kelly -1.45%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.36%31.76%31.80%33.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.922.903.0537.04%34.29%34.48%32.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Rochdale (Гости)
Прогноз 39.92%2.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.78%
Преимущество -1.57%
Kelly -2.68%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.41
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.22%39.98%39.87%41.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.162.312.302.4146.30%43.29%43.48%41.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.27%3.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.06%
Преимущество -0.304%
Kelly -0.425%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.51%28.26%28.33%29.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.263.253.5032.26%30.66%30.77%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Newport County (Хозяева): 31.81%; Rochdale (Гости): 39.92%; Ничья: 28.27%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.54. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.50, математическое ожидание — -1.06%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.69%EV -4.26%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -4.58%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.39%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -5.85%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -6.98%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.97%E -5.95%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.38%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -13.77%E -6.37%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -13.77%E -6.37%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-10 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.97%E -3.94%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -1.06%E -0.304%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 10:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -11.89%E -4.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.84%EV -3.78%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -3.33%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -12.53%E -4.55%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.12%E -5.23%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |