Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Newport County v Rochdale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

Score final : Newport County 3–0 Rochdale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Newport County (Local)

Prévision 31.81%3.14cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -0.978%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.36%31.76%31.80%33.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.903.0537.04%34.29%34.48%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rochdale (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.92%2.50cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.22%39.98%39.87%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.162.312.302.4146.30%43.29%43.48%41.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.27%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.304%
Kelly -0.425%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.51%28.26%28.33%29.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.263.253.5032.26%30.66%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Newport County (Local) : 31.81% ; Rochdale (Visiteur) : 39.92% ; Match nul : 28.27%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.54. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -1.06% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:04
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.69%EV -4.26%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -4.58%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.39%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:10
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -5.85%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -6.98%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:25
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 09:29
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.97%E -5.95%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 08:05
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.38%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:20
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:20
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:15
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:29
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -13.77%E -6.37%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -13.77%E -6.37%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:23
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:23
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:15
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:14
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-10 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.97%E -3.94%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:24
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -1.06%E -0.304%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:10
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:19
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:29
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -11.89%E -4.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.84%EV -3.78%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -3.33%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:19
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -12.53%E -4.55%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:24
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.12%E -5.23%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-15 11:25