L’École des cotes

Newport County v Rochdale

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 2

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Newport County (Local)

Prévision 36.29%2.76cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.36%36.25%36.25%36.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.73%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rochdale (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.11%2.77cote équitable
EV -5.40%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -3.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.36%36.11%36.13%36.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.522.502.6241.67%39.69%40.00%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.61%3.62cote équitable
EV -6.13%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.90%27.64%27.62%28.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.353.4032.26%30.18%29.85%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -4.57%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 07:50
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 16:30
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 12:04
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -9.01%E -3.58%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 00:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -9.01%E -3.58%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 12:05
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-07 09:53
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -6.38%E -2.47%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -7.21%E -2.80%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 04:09
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -6.38%E -2.47%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -7.21%E -2.80%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 04:04
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 12:04
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 12:00
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 12:04
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 16:25
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-07 09:49
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 12:29
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 08:38
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 12:55
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 16:35
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 18:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 12:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 23:39
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.54%E -4.71%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.42%E -4.65%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-07 09:54
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-02 10:19
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.34%E -5.56%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-30 06:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%12.4%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25