Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Newport County v Rochdale

Początek: 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Newport County 3–0 Rochdale

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Newport County (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 31.81%3.14kurs godziwy
EV -2.98%
Przewaga -0.978%
Kelly -1.45%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.36%31.76%31.80%33.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.922.903.0537.04%34.29%34.48%32.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Rochdale (Goście)

Prognoza 39.92%2.50kurs godziwy
EV -3.78%
Przewaga -1.57%
Kelly -2.68%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.41

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.22%39.98%39.87%41.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.162.312.302.4146.30%43.29%43.48%41.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.27%3.54kurs godziwy
EV -1.06%
Przewaga -0.304%
Kelly -0.425%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.51%28.26%28.33%29.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.263.253.5032.26%30.66%30.77%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Newport County (Gospodarze): 31.81%; Rochdale (Goście): 39.92%; Remis: 28.27%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.54. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.50, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.06%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:04
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.69%EV -4.26%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -4.58%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.39%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:10
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -5.85%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -6.98%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:25
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 09:29
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.97%E -5.95%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 08:05
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.38%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:20
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:20
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:15
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:29
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -13.77%E -6.37%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -13.77%E -6.37%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:23
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:23
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:15
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:14
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-10 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.97%E -3.94%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:24
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -1.06%E -0.304%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:10
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:19
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:29
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -11.89%E -4.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.84%EV -3.78%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -3.33%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:19
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -12.53%E -4.55%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:24
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.12%E -5.23%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-15 11:25