StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newport County v Rochdale

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Newport County 3–0 Rochdale

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newport County (Hemma)

Prognos 31.81%3.14rättvist odds
EV -2.98%
Fördel -0.978%
Kelly -1.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.36%31.76%31.80%33.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.922.903.0537.04%34.29%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Rochdale (Borta)

Prognos 39.92%2.50rättvist odds
EV -3.78%
Fördel -1.57%
Kelly -2.68%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.22%39.98%39.87%41.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.162.312.302.4146.30%43.29%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.27%3.54rättvist odds
EV -1.06%
Fördel -0.304%
Kelly -0.425%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.51%28.26%28.33%29.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.263.253.5032.26%30.66%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Newport County (Hemma): 31.81%; Rochdale (Borta): 39.92%; Oavgjort: 28.27%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.54. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.50, med väntevärdet -1.06%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:04
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.69%EV -4.26%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -4.58%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.39%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:10
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -5.85%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -6.98%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:25
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 09:29
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.97%E -5.95%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 08:05
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.38%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:20
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:20
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:15
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:29
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -13.77%E -6.37%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -13.77%E -6.37%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:23
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:23
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:15
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:14
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-10 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.97%E -3.94%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:24
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -1.06%E -0.304%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:10
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:19
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:29
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -11.89%E -4.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.84%EV -3.78%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -3.33%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:19
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -12.53%E -4.55%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:24
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.12%E -5.23%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-15 11:25