La escuela de los momios

Newport County v Rochdale

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Newport County (Local)

Predicción 36.28%2.76momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.36%36.25%36.31%36.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.73%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rochdale (Visitante)

Predicción 36.09%2.77momio equitativo
EV -5.44%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.36%36.10%36.06%36.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.502.6241.67%39.68%40.00%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.63%3.62momio equitativo
EV -6.07%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.90%27.65%27.63%28.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.353.4032.26%30.17%29.85%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -4.58%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 07:50
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -4.94%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 16:30
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.94%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 12:04
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -4.94%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 00:34
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -4.94%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 12:05
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-07 09:53
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -6.39%E -2.48%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -7.24%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 04:09
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -6.39%E -2.48%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -7.24%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 04:04
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.48%E -2.93%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 12:04
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.48%E -2.93%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.48%E -2.93%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 12:00
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.48%E -2.93%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 12:04
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.48%E -2.93%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 16:25
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.48%E -2.93%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-07 09:49
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.48%E -2.93%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 12:29
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.48%E -2.93%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 08:38
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 12:55
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 16:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 12:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 23:39
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-07 09:54
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:29
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.49%E -4.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -11.11%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-02 10:19
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.92%E -5.38%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.38%E -5.57%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-30 06:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%12.4%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25