Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Newport County v Rochdale

Início: 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

Final: Newport County 3–0 Rochdale

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Newport County (Local)

Previsão 31.81%3.14odd justa
EV -2.98%
Vantagem -0.978%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.36%31.76%31.80%33.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.922.903.0537.04%34.29%34.48%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rochdale (Visitante)

Previsão 39.92%2.50odd justa
EV -3.78%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.22%39.98%39.87%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.162.312.302.4146.30%43.29%43.48%41.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.27%3.54odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.304%
Kelly -0.425%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.51%28.26%28.33%29.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.263.253.5032.26%30.66%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Newport County (Local): 31.81%; Rochdale (Visitante): 39.92%; Empate: 28.27%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.54. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.50, com valor esperado de -1.06%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:05
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -2.98%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:04
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.69%EV -4.26%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -4.58%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.39%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:10
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -5.85%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -6.98%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:25
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 09:29
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.97%E -5.95%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 08:05
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.38%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:20
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:20
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:15
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 09:29
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -13.77%E -6.37%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.96%EV -13.77%E -6.37%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 08:05
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:23
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:23
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:15
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:14
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-10 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.97%E -3.94%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:24
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.96%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -1.06%E -0.304%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:10
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:19
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.93%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:29
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -11.89%E -4.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.84%EV -3.78%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -3.33%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:19
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -12.53%E -4.55%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:24
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.12%E -5.23%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.72%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-15 11:25