Language:English
Chesterfield FC v Gillingham
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Prediction 59.63%1.68fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.977%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.54%59.55%59.58%61.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.551.6567.11%64.33%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gillingham (Visit)
Prediction 16.19%6.18fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.237%
Kelly +0.282%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 6.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.14%16.24%16.25%18.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.605.506.2719.23%17.87%18.18%15.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.18%4.13fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.375%
Kelly +0.493%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%24.21%24.17%25.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.803.804.2027.78%26.30%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chesterfield FC (Local): 59.63%; Gillingham (Visit): 16.19%; Draw: 24.18%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +1.58%E +0.375%K +0.493%G +0.008% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.14%EV +1.49%E +0.237%K +0.282%G +0.004% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.61%EV -2.78%E -0.691%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -1.61%E -0.977%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -9.36%E -6.16%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.84%EV -5.31%E -0.908%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.89%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.16%EV -6.61%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.47%EV -7.86%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.81%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |