Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Chesterfield FC v Gillingham

Начало: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Итог: Chesterfield FC 1–1 Gillingham

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Chesterfield FC (Хозяева)

Прогноз 59.63%1.68справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.61%
Преимущество -0.977%
Kelly -2.48%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.54%59.55%59.58%61.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.491.551.551.6567.11%64.33%64.52%60.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Gillingham (Гости)

Прогноз 16.19%6.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.49%
Преимущество +0.237%
Kelly +0.282%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.27

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.14%16.24%16.25%18.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.205.605.506.2719.23%17.87%18.18%15.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 24.18%4.13справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.58%
Преимущество +0.375%
Kelly +0.493%
Рост +0.008%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.18%24.21%24.17%25.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.803.804.2027.78%26.30%26.32%23.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chesterfield FC (Хозяева): 59.63%; Gillingham (Гости): 16.19%; Ничья: 24.18%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.13. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.58%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +1.58%E +0.375%K +0.493%G +0.008%7.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.14%EV +1.49%E +0.237%K +0.282%G +0.004%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.61%EV -2.78%E -0.691%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 18:25
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -1.61%E -0.977%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -9.36%E -6.16%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.84%EV -5.31%E -0.908%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.89%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:25
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.16%EV -6.61%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.47%EV -7.86%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 17:40
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 17:45
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 18:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:33
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.81%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 15:00
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 15:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:25
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-09-01 18:40