Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chesterfield FC v Gillingham

Początek: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Chesterfield FC 1–1 Gillingham

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chesterfield FC (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 59.63%1.68kurs godziwy
EV -1.61%
Przewaga -0.977%
Kelly -2.48%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
57.54%59.55%59.58%61.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.491.551.551.6567.11%64.33%64.52%60.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Gillingham (Goście)

Prognoza 16.19%6.18kurs godziwy
EV +1.49%
Przewaga +0.237%
Kelly +0.282%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.27

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.14%16.24%16.25%18.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.205.605.506.2719.23%17.87%18.18%15.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.18%4.13kurs godziwy
EV +1.58%
Przewaga +0.375%
Kelly +0.493%
Wzrost +0.008%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.18%24.21%24.17%25.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.803.804.2027.78%26.30%26.32%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Chesterfield FC (Gospodarze): 59.63%; Gillingham (Goście): 16.19%; Remis: 24.18%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.13. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.20, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.58%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +1.58%E +0.375%K +0.493%G +0.008%7.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.14%EV +1.49%E +0.237%K +0.282%G +0.004%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.61%EV -2.78%E -0.691%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 18:25
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -1.61%E -0.977%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -9.36%E -6.16%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.84%EV -5.31%E -0.908%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.89%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:25
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.16%EV -6.61%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.47%EV -7.86%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 17:40
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 17:45
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 18:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:33
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.81%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 15:00
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 15:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:25
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-09-01 18:40