預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Chesterfield FC v Gillingham

開賽時間: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

最終賽果: Chesterfield FC 1–1 Gillingham

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

52 家博彩公司 (18 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Chesterfield FC (主隊)

預測 59.63%1.68公平賠率
EV -1.61%
優勢 -0.977%
Kelly -2.48%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.65

博彩公司預測分布
57.54%59.55%59.58%61.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.491.551.551.6567.11%64.33%64.52%60.61%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Gillingham (客隊)

預測 16.19%6.18公平賠率
EV +1.49%
優勢 +0.237%
Kelly +0.282%
成長率 +0.004%

假設最高賠率為 6.27

博彩公司預測分布
15.14%16.24%16.25%18.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.205.605.506.2719.23%17.87%18.18%15.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 24.18%4.13公平賠率
EV +1.58%
優勢 +0.375%
Kelly +0.493%
成長率 +0.008%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布
22.18%24.21%24.17%25.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.603.803.804.2027.78%26.30%26.32%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Chesterfield FC (主隊):59.63%;Gillingham (客隊):16.19%;和局:24.18%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於4.13的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.20,對應+1.58%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (52 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +1.58%E +0.375%K +0.493%G +0.008%7.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.14%EV +1.49%E +0.237%K +0.282%G +0.004%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.61%EV -2.78%E -0.691%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 18:25
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -1.61%E -0.977%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -9.36%E -6.16%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.84%EV -5.31%E -0.908%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.89%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:25
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.16%EV -6.61%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.47%EV -7.86%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 17:40
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 17:45
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 18:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:33
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.81%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 15:00
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 15:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:25
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:25
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-09-01 18:40