StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Chesterfield FC v Gillingham

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Chesterfield FC 1–1 Gillingham

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Chesterfield FC (Hemma)

Prognos 59.63%1.68rättvist odds
EV -1.61%
Fördel -0.977%
Kelly -2.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.54%59.55%59.58%61.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.491.551.551.6567.11%64.33%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Gillingham (Borta)

Prognos 16.19%6.18rättvist odds
EV +1.49%
Fördel +0.237%
Kelly +0.282%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.14%16.24%16.25%18.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.205.605.506.2719.23%17.87%18.18%15.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.18%4.13rättvist odds
EV +1.58%
Fördel +0.375%
Kelly +0.493%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.18%24.21%24.17%25.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.803.804.2027.78%26.30%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Chesterfield FC (Hemma): 59.63%; Gillingham (Borta): 16.19%; Oavgjort: 24.18%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.13. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.20, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.58%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +1.58%E +0.375%K +0.493%G +0.008%7.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.14%EV +1.49%E +0.237%K +0.282%G +0.004%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.61%EV -2.78%E -0.691%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 18:25
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -1.61%E -0.977%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -9.36%E -6.16%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.84%EV -5.31%E -0.908%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.89%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:25
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.16%EV -6.61%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.47%EV -7.86%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 17:40
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 17:45
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 18:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:33
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.81%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 15:00
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 15:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:25
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-09-01 18:40