Idioma:Español
Chesterfield FC v Gillingham
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Predicción 59.63%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.977%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.54%59.55%59.58%61.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.551.551.6567.11%64.33%64.52%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Gillingham (Visitante)
Predicción 16.19%6.18momio equitativo
EV +1.49%
Ventaja +0.237%
Kelly +0.282%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.14%16.24%16.25%18.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.205.605.506.2719.23%17.87%18.18%15.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.18%4.13momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.375%
Kelly +0.493%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%24.21%24.17%25.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.803.804.2027.78%26.30%26.32%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chesterfield FC (Local): 59.63%; Gillingham (Visitante): 16.19%; Empate: 24.18%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.13. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.58%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +1.58%E +0.375%K +0.493%G +0.008% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.14%EV +1.49%E +0.237%K +0.282%G +0.004% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.61%EV -2.78%E -0.691%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -1.61%E -0.977%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -9.36%E -6.16%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.84%EV -5.31%E -0.908%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.89%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.16%EV -6.61%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.47%EV -7.86%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.81%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |