StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chesterfield FC v Gillingham

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Endstand: Chesterfield FC 1–1 Gillingham

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chesterfield FC (Heim)

Prognose 59.63%1.68faire Quote
EV -1.61%
Vorteil -0.977%
Kelly -2.48%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.54%59.55%59.58%61.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.491.551.551.6567.11%64.33%64.52%60.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Gillingham (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.19%6.18faire Quote
EV +1.49%
Vorteil +0.237%
Kelly +0.282%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.27

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.14%16.24%16.25%18.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.205.605.506.2719.23%17.87%18.18%15.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.18%4.13faire Quote
EV +1.58%
Vorteil +0.375%
Kelly +0.493%
Wachstum +0.008%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.18%24.21%24.17%25.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.803.804.2027.78%26.30%26.32%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Chesterfield FC (Heim): 59.63%; Gillingham (Auswärts): 16.19%; Unentschieden: 24.18%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.13. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.20 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.58%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +1.58%E +0.375%K +0.493%G +0.008%7.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.14%EV +1.49%E +0.237%K +0.282%G +0.004%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.61%EV -2.78%E -0.691%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 18:25
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.26%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -1.61%E -0.977%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -9.36%E -6.16%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.84%EV -5.31%E -0.908%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.89%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:25
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.16%EV -6.61%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.47%EV -7.86%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.88%E -0.480%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -15.02%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 17:40
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 17:45
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.10%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 18:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:33
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.17%E -5.31%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.81%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -9.96%E -6.60%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -12.59%E -2.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 15:00
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -7.49%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.21%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 15:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:25
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.93%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-09-01 18:40