預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Port Vale v Lincoln City

開賽時間: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

最終賽果: Port Vale 0–2 Lincoln City

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

52 家博彩公司 (18 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Port Vale (主隊)

預測 20.45%4.89公平賠率
EV +2.26%
優勢 +0.453%
Kelly +0.566%
成長率 +0.013%

假設最高賠率為 5.00

博彩公司預測分布
18.83%20.37%20.52%22.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.124.524.505.0024.27%22.14%22.22%20.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Lincoln City (客隊)

預測 55.34%1.81公平賠率
EV -3.71%
優勢 -2.13%
Kelly -5.02%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.74

博彩公司預測分布
53.78%55.32%55.28%56.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.19%59.17%57.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 24.21%4.13公平賠率
EV +5.31%
優勢 +1.22%
Kelly +1.59%
成長率 +0.084%

假設最高賠率為 4.35

博彩公司預測分布
21.53%24.31%24.20%25.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.603.803.804.3527.78%26.35%26.32%22.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Port Vale (主隊):20.45%;Lincoln City (客隊):55.34%;和局:24.21%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於4.13的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.35,對應+5.31%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (52 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 22.73%EV -15.73%E -3.82%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +5.31%E +1.22%K +1.59%G +0.084%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:01
Pinnacle🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.41%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.78%EV -3.40%E -0.853%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:31
Betr (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.85%E -0.600%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.26%E +0.453%K +0.566%G +0.013%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.219%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:56
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:01
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:54
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:30
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.83%E -0.380%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:30
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:31
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:56
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:30
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:40
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-05-02 13:50