L’École des cotesPort Vale v Lincoln City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Port Vale (Local)
Prévision 20.45%4.89cote équitable
EV +2.26%
Avantage +0.453%
Kelly +0.566%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.83%20.37%20.52%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.124.524.505.0024.27%22.14%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lincoln City (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.34%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -5.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.78%55.32%55.28%56.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.19%59.17%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.21%4.13cote équitable
EV +5.31%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.59%
Croissance +0.084%
avec la cote maximale 4.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.53%24.31%24.20%25.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.803.804.3527.78%26.35%26.32%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.73%EV -15.73%E -3.82%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +5.31%E +1.22%K +1.59%G +0.084% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| Pinnacle | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.41%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.78%EV -3.40%E -0.853%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.85%E -0.600%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.26%E +0.453%K +0.566%G +0.013% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.219%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| theScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:43 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.83%E -0.380%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TAB | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |