مدرسة الاحتمالات

Port Vale v Lincoln City

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Port Vale 0–2 Lincoln City

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Port Vale (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.45%4.89السعر العادل
EV +2.26%
الأفضلية +0.453%
Kelly +0.566%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.83%20.37%20.52%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.124.524.505.0024.27%22.14%22.22%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lincoln City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.34%1.81السعر العادل
EV -3.71%
الأفضلية -2.13%
Kelly -5.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.78%55.32%55.28%56.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.19%59.17%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.21%4.13السعر العادل
EV +5.31%
الأفضلية +1.22%
Kelly +1.59%
النمو +0.084%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.53%24.31%24.20%25.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.803.804.3527.78%26.35%26.32%22.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.12I 24.27%NM 22.73%EV -15.73%E -3.82%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +5.31%E +1.22%K +1.59%G +0.084%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:01
Pinnacle4.65I 21.51%NM 20.41%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.78%EV -3.40%E -0.853%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:31
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.85%E -0.600%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.26%E +0.453%K +0.566%G +0.013%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:45
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.219%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:56
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:00
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:01
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:54
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:30
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.83%E -0.380%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:30
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:31
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:56
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:40
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-05-02 13:50