La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Port Vale v Lincoln City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 20.45%4.89momio equitativo
EV +2.26%
Ventaja +0.453%
Kelly +0.566%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.83%20.37%20.52%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.124.524.505.0024.27%22.14%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lincoln City (Visitante)
Predicción 55.34%1.81momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -5.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.78%55.32%55.28%56.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.19%59.17%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.21%4.13momio equitativo
EV +5.31%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.59%
Crecimiento +0.084%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.53%24.31%24.20%25.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.803.804.3527.78%26.35%26.32%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.73%EV -15.73%E -3.82%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +5.31%E +1.22%K +1.59%G +0.084% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| Pinnacle | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.41%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.78%EV -3.40%E -0.853%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.85%E -0.600%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.26%E +0.453%K +0.566%G +0.013% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.219%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| theScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:43 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.83%E -0.380%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TAB | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |