语言:简体中文
Port Vale v Lincoln City
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Port Vale (主队)
预测 20.45%4.89公平赔率
EV +2.26%
优势 +0.453%
Kelly +0.566%
增长率 +0.013%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.83%20.37%20.52%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.124.524.505.0024.27%22.14%22.22%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lincoln City (客队)
预测 55.34%1.81公平赔率
EV -3.71%
优势 -2.13%
Kelly -5.02%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.74
博彩公司预测分布
53.78%55.32%55.28%56.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.19%59.17%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.21%4.13公平赔率
EV +5.31%
优势 +1.22%
Kelly +1.59%
增长率 +0.084%
假设最高赔率为 4.35
博彩公司预测分布
21.53%24.31%24.20%25.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.803.804.3527.78%26.35%26.32%22.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Port Vale (主队)：20.45%；Lincoln City (客队)：55.34%；平局：24.21%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.13。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.35，对应+5.31%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.73%EV -15.73%E -3.82%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +5.31%E +1.22%K +1.59%G +0.084% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.41%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.78%EV -3.40%E -0.853%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.85%E -0.600%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.26%E +0.453%K +0.566%G +0.013% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.219%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:43 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.83%E -0.380%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |