A Escola das Odds

Port Vale v Lincoln City

Início: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Port Vale 0–2 Lincoln City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Port Vale (Local)

Previsão 20.45%4.89odd justa
EV +2.26%
Vantagem +0.453%
Kelly +0.566%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.83%20.37%20.52%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.124.524.505.0024.27%22.14%22.22%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lincoln City (Visitante)

Previsão 55.34%1.81odd justa
EV -3.71%
Vantagem -2.13%
Kelly -5.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.78%55.32%55.28%56.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.19%59.17%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.21%4.13odd justa
EV +5.31%
Vantagem +1.22%
Kelly +1.59%
Crescimento +0.084%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.53%24.31%24.20%25.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.803.804.3527.78%26.35%26.32%22.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet4.12I 24.27%NM 22.73%EV -15.73%E -3.82%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +5.31%E +1.22%K +1.59%G +0.084%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:01
Pinnacle4.65I 21.51%NM 20.41%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.78%EV -3.40%E -0.853%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:31
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.85%E -0.600%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.26%E +0.453%K +0.566%G +0.013%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:45
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.219%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:56
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:00
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:01
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:54
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:30
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.83%E -0.380%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:30
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:31
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:56
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-02 13:40
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-05-02 13:50