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Port Vale v Lincoln City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Port Vale (Хозяева)
Прогноз 20.45%4.89справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.26%
Преимущество +0.453%
Kelly +0.566%
Рост +0.013%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.83%20.37%20.52%22.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.124.524.505.0024.27%22.14%22.22%20.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Lincoln City (Гости)
Прогноз 55.34%1.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.71%
Преимущество -2.13%
Kelly -5.02%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.74
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.78%55.32%55.28%56.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.19%59.17%57.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.21%4.13справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.31%
Преимущество +1.22%
Kelly +1.59%
Рост +0.084%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.53%24.31%24.20%25.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.803.804.3527.78%26.35%26.32%22.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Port Vale (Хозяева): 20.45%; Lincoln City (Гости): 55.34%; Ничья: 24.21%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.13. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.35, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.31%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.73%EV -15.73%E -3.82%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +5.31%E +1.22%K +1.59%G +0.084% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.791%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.41%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.78%EV -3.40%E -0.853%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.89%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.85%E -0.600%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.26%E +0.453%K +0.566%G +0.013% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.219%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.83%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:43 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.14%E -4.90%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.69%E -5.27%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.83%E -0.380%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.85%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |