Notts County v Leicester City

2026-08-15 11:30 — League 1

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Notts County (Local)

Odds

3.2031.25%Min

3.3829.59%Mean

3.4029.41%Median

3.6027.78%Max

Consensus probabilities

26.40%3.788Min

28.14%3.554Max

27.23%3.672Mean

27.12%3.688Median

27.17%3.681IQM

27.25%3.670Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 27.17%

EV -2.21%Edge -0.613%Kelly -0.848%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Leicester City (Visit)

Odds

1.9551.28%Min

1.9950.18%Mean

1.9850.51%Median

2.0848.08%Max

Consensus probabilities

45.04%2.220Min

46.40%2.155Max

45.34%2.205Mean

45.28%2.208Median

45.23%2.211IQM

45.35%2.205Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.08 under the IQM model: 45.23%

EV -5.92%Edge -2.84%Kelly -5.48%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2031.25%Min

3.3130.22%Mean

3.2331.01%Median

3.5028.57%Max

Consensus probabilities

26.13%3.827Min

28.11%3.557Max

27.42%3.646Mean

27.60%3.623Median

27.60%3.623IQM

27.40%3.650Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.60%

EV -3.39%Edge -0.969%Kelly -1.36%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Notts County (Local) ▼	Leicester City (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
betfred_uk	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.42%EV -2.21% E -0.613% K -0.848% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.40%EV -7.27% E -3.55% K -6.93% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 27.18%EV -3.39% E -0.969% K -1.36% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 05:39
Betr (AU)	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -4.92% E -1.41% K -1.97% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -7.27% E -3.55% K -6.93% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -3.39% E -0.969% K -1.36% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 05:38
SportsBet	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.85%EV -4.92% E -1.41% K -1.97% G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26% NM 46.30%EV -8.18% E -4.03% K -7.94% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.85%EV -3.39% E -0.969% K -1.36% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-30 05:39
1xBet	3.44I 29.07% NM 27.24%EV -6.55% E -1.90% K -2.69% G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08% NM 45.04%EV -5.92% E -2.84% K -5.48% G +0.000%	3.38I 29.59% NM 27.72%EV -6.70% E -1.98% K -2.82% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-30 05:40
Marathon Bet	3.44I 29.07% NM 27.12%EV -6.55% E -1.90% K -2.69% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 45.28%EV -6.82% E -3.31% K -6.44% G +0.000%	3.38I 29.59% NM 27.60%EV -6.70% E -1.98% K -2.82% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-30 05:39
Bet Right	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.95%EV -9.54% E -4.77% K -9.54% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -6.15% E -1.81% K -2.56% G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-06-30 05:39
Paddy Power	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.95%EV -9.54% E -4.77% K -9.54% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -6.15% E -1.81% K -2.56% G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-06-30 05:39
Virgin Bet	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.46%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51% NM 45.43%EV -10.44% E -5.27% K -10.65% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.11%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.46%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51% NM 45.43%EV -10.44% E -5.27% K -10.65% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.11%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-06-30 09:39
Unibet	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.46%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51% NM 45.43%EV -10.44% E -5.27% K -10.65% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.11%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-06-30 10:39
BetRivers	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.40%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.56%EV -10.89% E -5.53% K -11.23% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.05%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 06:49
LeoVegas (SE)	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.40%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.56%EV -10.89% E -5.53% K -11.23% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.05%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.40%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.56%EV -10.89% E -5.53% K -11.23% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.05%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.40%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.56%EV -10.89% E -5.53% K -11.23% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.05%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.40%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.56%EV -10.89% E -5.53% K -11.23% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.05%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.40%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.56%EV -10.89% E -5.53% K -11.23% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.05%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.40%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.56%EV -10.89% E -5.53% K -11.23% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.05%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.40%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.56%EV -10.89% E -5.53% K -11.23% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.05%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.40%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.56%EV -10.89% E -5.53% K -11.23% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.05%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.40%EV -7.64% E -2.25% K -3.18% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.56%EV -10.89% E -5.53% K -11.23% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.05%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 10:20
Codere (IT)	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.05%EV -9.00% E -2.69% K -3.83% G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75% NM 45.08%EV -9.08% E -4.52% K -8.99% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.88%EV -10.29% E -3.17% K -4.57% G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-06-30 05:39
LeoVegas	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.35% E -3.14% K -4.50% G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51% NM 45.45%EV -10.44% E -5.27% K -10.65% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -8.91% E -2.70% K -3.87% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-07-04 17:10
Sky Bet	3.30I 30.30% NM 26.97%EV -10.35% E -3.14% K -4.50% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 45.64%EV -11.80% E -6.05% K -12.42% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.39%EV -10.29% E -3.17% K -4.57% G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-06-30 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	3.30I 30.30% NM 26.13%EV -10.35% E -3.14% K -4.50% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 45.14%EV -13.61% E -7.12% K -14.95% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.74%EV -17.19% E -5.73% K -8.60% G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
888sport (SE)	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.14%EV -11.71% E -3.60% K -5.21% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.73%EV -9.54% E -4.77% K -9.54% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.13%EV -3.39% E -0.969% K -1.36% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-30 09:39
888sport	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.14%EV -11.71% E -3.60% K -5.21% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.73%EV -9.54% E -4.77% K -9.54% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.13%EV -3.39% E -0.969% K -1.36% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.14%EV -11.71% E -3.60% K -5.21% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.73%EV -9.54% E -4.77% K -9.54% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.13%EV -3.39% E -0.969% K -1.36% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.14%EV -11.71% E -3.60% K -5.21% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.73%EV -9.54% E -4.77% K -9.54% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.13%EV -3.39% E -0.969% K -1.36% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-30 14:19
BoyleSports	3.20I 31.25% NM 27.46%EV -13.07% E -4.08% K -5.94% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 45.07%EV -11.80% E -6.05% K -12.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 27.46%EV -11.67% E -3.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%	13.8%	2026-06-30 05:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Notts County (Local)	Leicester City (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	3.00I 33.33%	125.6%	2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	3.00I 33.33%	125.6%	2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	3.00I 33.33%	125.6%	2026-07-05 14:15