Language:English
Notts County v Leicester City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Notts County (Local)
Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV +0.218%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.71%25.74%25.81%26.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.8929.41%27.67%27.78%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leicester City (Visit)
Prediction 47.19%2.12fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.50%47.10%47.19%48.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.982.0554.05%50.89%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.00%27.15%27.00%28.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.403.6030.77%29.26%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notts County (Local): 25.76%; Leicester City (Visit): 47.19%; Draw: 27.04%. For Notts County (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.218%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV +0.218%E +0.056%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.06%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.54%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 10:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.65%E -0.975%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.30%EV -7.24%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 11:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.64%E -0.734%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 10:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 11:17 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.50%EV -6.08%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |