StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Notts County v Leicester City

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Notts County 1–1 Leicester City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Notts County (Hemma)

Prognos 25.76%3.88rättvist odds
EV +0.218%
Fördel +0.056%
Kelly +0.076%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.89

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.71%25.74%25.81%26.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.613.603.8929.41%27.67%27.78%25.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Leicester City (Borta)

Prognos 47.19%2.12rättvist odds
EV -3.25%
Fördel -1.59%
Kelly -3.10%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.50%47.10%47.19%48.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.851.961.982.0554.05%50.89%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.04%3.70rättvist odds
EV -2.64%
Fördel -0.734%
Kelly -1.02%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.00%27.15%27.00%28.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.423.403.6030.77%29.26%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Notts County (Hemma): 25.76%; Leicester City (Borta): 47.19%; Oavgjort: 27.04%. För Notts County (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.88. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.89, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.218%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV +0.218%E +0.056%K +0.076%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.06%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.54%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 11:25
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:54
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 11:15
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:55
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.65%E -0.975%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:25
1xBet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.30%EV -7.24%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:10
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:59
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:24
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:19
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:18
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.64%E -0.734%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:29
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:15
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:55
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 11:24
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:10
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 10:54
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:14
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:15
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:19
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:19
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:59
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 10:59
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:17
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:15
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:44
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.50%EV -6.08%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 10:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-08-15 11:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-08-15 11:25