La escuela de los momios

Notts County v Leicester City

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Notts County (Local)

Predicción 27.39%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.387%
Kelly -0.536%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%27.28%27.31%28.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.69%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leicester City (Visitante)

Predicción 45.05%2.22momio equitativo
EV -5.40%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -4.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.59%45.11%45.06%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.012.002.1051.28%49.64%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.13%27.60%27.63%29.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.333.303.5032.26%30.01%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -1.39%E -0.387%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 12:55
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 05:38
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -8.55%E -4.21%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 07:34
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.04%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.72%EV -6.85%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 08:59
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -7.20%E -3.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.85%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 16:09
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 19:44
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 16:35
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-16 15:45
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.80%E -5.46%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.80%E -5.46%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 09:39
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.80%E -5.46%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 10:39
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 10:20
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 00:00
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 00:00
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 19:39
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 17:55
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.08%EV -9.45%E -4.70%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-30 05:39
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 15:54
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-10 10:04
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 08:38
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 15:39
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 00:04
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -12.15%E -6.23%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-30 05:39
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 18:50
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 10:25
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 14:19
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.15%E -6.23%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%11.4%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 33.43%1.51I 66.23%NM 44.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 22.29%49.6%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 33.43%1.51I 66.23%NM 44.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 22.29%49.6%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 33.43%1.51I 66.23%NM 44.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 22.29%49.6%2026-07-21 12:25