Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Notts County v Leicester City

Początek: 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Notts County 1–1 Leicester City

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Notts County (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 25.76%3.88kurs godziwy
EV +0.218%
Przewaga +0.056%
Kelly +0.076%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.89

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.71%25.74%25.81%26.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.613.603.8929.41%27.67%27.78%25.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Leicester City (Goście)

Prognoza 47.19%2.12kurs godziwy
EV -3.25%
Przewaga -1.59%
Kelly -3.10%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.50%47.10%47.19%48.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.851.961.982.0554.05%50.89%50.51%48.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.04%3.70kurs godziwy
EV -2.64%
Przewaga -0.734%
Kelly -1.02%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.00%27.15%27.00%28.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.423.403.6030.77%29.26%29.41%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Notts County (Gospodarze): 25.76%; Leicester City (Goście): 47.19%; Remis: 27.04%. Dla wyniku Notts County (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.88. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.89, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.218%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV +0.218%E +0.056%K +0.076%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.06%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.54%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 11:25
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:54
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 11:15
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:55
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.65%E -0.975%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:25
1xBet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.30%EV -7.24%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:10
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:59
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:24
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:19
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:18
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.64%E -0.734%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:29
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:15
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:55
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 11:24
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:10
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 10:54
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:14
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:15
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:19
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:19
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:59
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 10:59
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:17
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:15
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:44
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.50%EV -6.08%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 10:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-08-15 11:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-08-15 11:25