默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Notts County v Leicester City

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

最终结果: Notts County 1–1 Leicester City

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Notts County (主队)

预测 25.76%3.88公平赔率
EV +0.218%
优势 +0.056%
Kelly +0.076%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.89

博彩公司预测分布
24.71%25.74%25.81%26.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.613.603.8929.41%27.67%27.78%25.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

Leicester City (客队)

预测 47.19%2.12公平赔率
EV -3.25%
优势 -1.59%
Kelly -3.10%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
45.50%47.10%47.19%48.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.961.982.0554.05%50.89%50.51%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.04%3.70公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -0.734%
Kelly -1.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.00%27.15%27.00%28.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.423.403.6030.77%29.26%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Notts County (主队):25.76%;Leicester City (客队):47.19%;平局:27.04%。 对于“Notts County (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.88。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.89,对应+0.218%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV +0.218%E +0.056%K +0.076%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.06%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.54%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 11:25
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:54
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 11:15
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:55
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.65%E -0.975%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:25
1xBet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.30%EV -7.24%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:10
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:59
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:24
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:19
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:18
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.64%E -0.734%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:29
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:15
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:55
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 11:24
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:10
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 10:54
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:14
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:15
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:19
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:19
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:59
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 10:59
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:17
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:15
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:44
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.50%EV -6.08%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 10:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-08-15 11:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-08-15 11:25