Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Notts County v Leicester City

Início: 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

Final: Notts County 1–1 Leicester City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Notts County (Local)

Previsão 25.76%3.88odd justa
EV +0.218%
Vantagem +0.056%
Kelly +0.076%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.71%25.74%25.81%26.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.613.603.8929.41%27.67%27.78%25.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leicester City (Visitante)

Previsão 47.19%2.12odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -3.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.50%47.10%47.19%48.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.961.982.0554.05%50.89%50.51%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.04%3.70odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -0.734%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.00%27.15%27.00%28.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.423.403.6030.77%29.26%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Notts County (Local): 25.76%; Leicester City (Visitante): 47.19%; Empate: 27.04%. Para Notts County (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.88. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.89, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.218%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV +0.218%E +0.056%K +0.076%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.06%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.54%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 11:25
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:54
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 11:15
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:55
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.65%E -0.975%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:25
1xBet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.30%EV -7.24%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:10
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:59
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:24
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:19
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:18
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.64%E -0.734%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:29
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:15
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:55
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 11:24
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:10
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 10:54
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.28%E -6.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:14
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:15
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:19
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:19
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:59
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 10:59
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:17
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:15
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:44
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.50%EV -6.08%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 10:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-08-15 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-08-15 11:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-08-15 11:25