L’École des cotes

Notts County v Leicester City

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 1

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Notts County (Local)

Prévision 27.39%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.387%
Kelly -0.536%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.53%27.28%27.31%28.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.69%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leicester City (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.05%2.22cote équitable
EV -5.40%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -4.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%45.11%45.06%46.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.012.002.1051.28%49.64%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.56%3.63cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.13%27.60%27.63%29.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.303.5032.26%30.01%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -1.39%E -0.387%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 12:55
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 05:38
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -8.55%E -4.21%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 07:34
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.04%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.72%EV -6.85%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 08:59
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -7.20%E -3.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.85%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 16:09
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 19:44
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 16:35
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-16 15:45
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.80%E -5.46%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.80%E -5.46%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 09:39
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.80%E -5.46%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 10:39
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.25%E -5.71%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 10:20
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 00:00
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 00:00
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 19:39
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 17:55
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.08%EV -9.45%E -4.70%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-30 05:39
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 15:54
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-10 10:04
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 08:38
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 15:39
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 00:04
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -12.15%E -6.23%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-30 05:39
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 18:50
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 10:25
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.90%E -4.95%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 14:19
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.15%E -6.23%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%11.4%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 33.43%1.51I 66.23%NM 44.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 22.29%49.6%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 33.43%1.51I 66.23%NM 44.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 22.29%49.6%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 33.43%1.51I 66.23%NM 44.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 22.29%49.6%2026-07-21 12:25