The School of Odds
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Luton v Stockport County FC

2026-09-02 18:45 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Luton (Local)

Prediction 44.05%2.27fair odd
EV -5.29%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.99%44.07%44.05%45.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.1550.00%47.95%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stockport County FC (Visit)

Prediction 30.05%3.33fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%30.03%30.15%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.073.083.2034.48%32.62%32.47%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.90%3.86fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%25.90%25.80%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.563.603.7529.41%28.10%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Luton (Local): 44.05%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 30.05%; Draw: 25.90%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -2.87%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 17:49
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.39%EV -7.45%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -6.23%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -7.45%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.23%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.87%E -0.764%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.87%E -0.764%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 19:04
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 19:04
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -8.38%E -4.03%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -9.26%E -4.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 17:04
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 17:09
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:43
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 17:05
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:55
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.90%E -5.95%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 17:13
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 43.35%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%16.5%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 17:10