Language:English
Luton v Stockport County FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luton (Local)
Prediction 36.45%2.74fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.591%
Kelly -0.938%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.72%36.44%36.53%38.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.572.552.7042.02%38.84%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stockport County FC (Visit)
Prediction 38.07%2.63fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.80%38.11%38.07%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.432.5743.48%41.19%41.15%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.48%3.92fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.484%
Kelly +0.645%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%25.45%25.39%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.604.0029.41%27.80%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luton (Local): 36.45%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 38.07%; Draw: 25.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV +1.94%E +0.484%K +0.645%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%EV -13.26%E -5.57%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.76%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.48%EV -2.16%E -0.841%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.76%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 18:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.53%E -5.22%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -3.05%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -6.35%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 18:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -7.79%E -3.08%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.04%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -8.77%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -3.78%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -5.59%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.73%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.61%EV -10.16%E -4.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 18:28 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |