语言:简体中文
Luton v Stockport County FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Luton (主队)
预测 36.45%2.74公平赔率
EV -1.59%
优势 -0.591%
Kelly -0.938%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.70
博彩公司预测分布
34.72%36.44%36.53%38.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.572.552.7042.02%38.84%39.22%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
Stockport County FC (客队)
预测 38.07%2.63公平赔率
EV -2.16%
优势 -0.841%
Kelly -1.38%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.57
博彩公司预测分布
36.80%38.11%38.07%39.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.432.432.5743.48%41.19%41.15%38.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.48%3.92公平赔率
EV +1.94%
优势 +0.484%
Kelly +0.645%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.78%25.45%25.39%26.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.603.604.0029.41%27.80%27.78%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Luton (主队)：36.45%；Stockport County FC (客队)：38.07%；平局：25.48%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.92。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.00，对应+1.94%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV +1.94%E +0.484%K +0.645%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%EV -13.26%E -5.57%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.76%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.48%EV -2.16%E -0.841%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.76%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 18:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.53%E -5.22%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -3.05%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -6.35%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 18:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -7.79%E -3.08%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.04%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -8.77%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -3.78%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -5.59%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.73%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.61%EV -10.16%E -4.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 18:28 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |