Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Luton v Stockport County FC

2026-09-02 18:45 UTC — League 1

Testa a testa

23 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Luton (Casa)

Previsione 44.05%2.27quota equa
EV -5.29%
Vantaggio -2.46%
Kelly -4.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.99%44.07%44.05%45.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.092.102.1550.00%47.95%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Stockport County FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.05%3.33quota equa
EV -3.85%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.09%30.03%30.15%31.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.073.083.2034.48%32.62%32.47%31.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.90%3.86quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -0.764%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.01%25.90%25.80%27.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.563.603.7529.41%28.10%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Luton (Casa): 44.05%; Stockport County FC (Trasferta): 30.05%; Pareggio: 25.90%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.86. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.75, con un valore atteso del -2.87%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 17:49
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.39%EV -7.45%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -6.23%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -7.45%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.23%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.87%E -0.764%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.87%E -0.764%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 19:04
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 19:04
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -8.38%E -4.03%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -9.26%E -4.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 17:04
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 17:09
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:43
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 17:05
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:55
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.90%E -5.95%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 17:13
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 43.35%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%16.5%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 17:10