النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Luton v Stockport County FC

البداية: 2026-09-02 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Luton 2–0 Stockport County FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Luton (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.45%2.74السعر العادل
EV -1.59%
الأفضلية -0.591%
Kelly -0.938%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.72%36.44%36.53%38.33%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.572.552.7042.02%38.84%39.22%37.04%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Stockport County FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.07%2.63السعر العادل
EV -2.16%
الأفضلية -0.841%
Kelly -1.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.80%38.11%38.07%39.75%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.432.432.5743.48%41.19%41.15%38.91%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.48%3.92السعر العادل
EV +1.94%
الأفضلية +0.484%
Kelly +0.645%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.78%25.45%25.39%26.63%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.603.604.0029.41%27.80%27.78%25.00%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Luton (المضيف)⁩: ⁨36.45%⁩؛ ⁨Stockport County FC (الضيف)⁩: ⁨38.07%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨25.48%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨تعادل⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨3.92⁩. عرضت شركة مراهنات واحدة (1) سعر إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨4.00⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.94%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV +1.94%E +0.484%K +0.645%G +0.012%4.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:30
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%EV -13.26%E -5.57%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.76%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.48%EV -2.16%E -0.841%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.76%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:30
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:38
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.53%E -5.22%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 18:40
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -3.05%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -6.35%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:40
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:24
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:38
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -7.79%E -3.08%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.04%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -8.77%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -3.78%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -5.59%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.73%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.61%EV -10.16%E -4.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 18:35
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:30
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 18:30
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 18:28
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40