Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Luton v Stockport County FC

Początek: 2026-09-02 18:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Luton 2–0 Stockport County FC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Luton (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.45%2.74kurs godziwy
EV -1.59%
Przewaga -0.591%
Kelly -0.938%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.72%36.44%36.53%38.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.382.572.552.7042.02%38.84%39.22%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Stockport County FC (Goście)

Prognoza 38.07%2.63kurs godziwy
EV -2.16%
Przewaga -0.841%
Kelly -1.38%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.57

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.80%38.11%38.07%39.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.432.432.5743.48%41.19%41.15%38.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.48%3.92kurs godziwy
EV +1.94%
Przewaga +0.484%
Kelly +0.645%
Wzrost +0.012%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.78%25.45%25.39%26.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.603.604.0029.41%27.80%27.78%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Luton (Gospodarze): 36.45%; Stockport County FC (Goście): 38.07%; Remis: 25.48%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.92. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.94%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV +1.94%E +0.484%K +0.645%G +0.012%4.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:30
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%EV -13.26%E -5.57%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.76%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.48%EV -2.16%E -0.841%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.76%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:30
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:38
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.53%E -5.22%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 18:40
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -3.05%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -6.35%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:40
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:24
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:38
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -7.79%E -3.08%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.04%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -8.77%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -3.78%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -5.59%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.73%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.61%EV -10.16%E -4.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 18:35
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:30
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 18:30
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 18:28
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40