StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luton v Stockport County FC

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Luton 2–0 Stockport County FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luton (Hemma)

Prognos 36.45%2.74rättvist odds
EV -1.59%
Fördel -0.591%
Kelly -0.938%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.72%36.44%36.53%38.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.382.572.552.7042.02%38.84%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Stockport County FC (Borta)

Prognos 38.07%2.63rättvist odds
EV -2.16%
Fördel -0.841%
Kelly -1.38%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.80%38.11%38.07%39.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.432.432.5743.48%41.19%41.15%38.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.48%3.92rättvist odds
EV +1.94%
Fördel +0.484%
Kelly +0.645%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.78%25.45%25.39%26.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.603.604.0029.41%27.80%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Luton (Hemma): 36.45%; Stockport County FC (Borta): 38.07%; Oavgjort: 25.48%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.92. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.94%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV +1.94%E +0.484%K +0.645%G +0.012%4.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:30
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%EV -13.26%E -5.57%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -12.44%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.76%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.48%EV -2.16%E -0.841%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.76%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:30
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:38
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.53%E -5.22%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 18:40
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -3.05%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -6.35%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:40
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:24
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.51%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:38
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -7.79%E -3.08%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.04%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -8.77%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -1.59%E -0.591%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -3.78%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -5.59%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.73%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.61%EV -10.16%E -4.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 18:35
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.63%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:30
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 18:30
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.73%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 18:28
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.54%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40