语言:简体中文
Bolton Wanderers v Luton
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Bolton Wanderers (主队)
预测 42.03%2.38公平赔率
EV -2.06%
优势 -0.883%
Kelly -1.55%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.33
博彩公司预测分布
40.01%42.09%41.87%43.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.232.242.3348.78%44.88%44.64%42.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
Luton (客队)
预测 34.75%2.88公平赔率
EV -3.39%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -1.90%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.78
博彩公司预测分布
32.79%34.74%34.85%36.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.652.652.7840.00%37.73%37.74%35.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.21%4.31公平赔率
EV +2.14%
优势 +0.486%
Kelly +0.629%
增长率 +0.013%
假设最高赔率为 4.40
博彩公司预测分布
21.31%23.17%23.28%26.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.983.954.4030.30%25.13%25.32%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bolton Wanderers (主队)：42.03%；Luton (客队)：34.75%；平局：23.21%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.31。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.40，对应+2.14%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.14%E +0.486%K +0.629%G +0.013% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.13%EV -5.82%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV +0.514%E +0.119%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -6.87%E -2.56%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.67%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.14%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.87%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -23.40%E -7.09%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.77% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.55% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |