L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Bolton Wanderers v Luton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Bolton Wanderers (Local)
Prévision 42.03%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.883%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.01%42.09%41.87%43.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.232.242.3348.78%44.88%44.64%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Luton (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.75%2.88cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.79%34.74%34.85%36.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.652.7840.00%37.73%37.74%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.21%4.31cote équitable
EV +2.14%
Avantage +0.486%
Kelly +0.629%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.31%23.17%23.28%26.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.983.954.4030.30%25.13%25.32%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.14%E +0.486%K +0.629%G +0.013% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.13%EV -5.82%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV +0.514%E +0.119%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -6.87%E -2.56%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:46 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.67%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.14%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:23 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.87%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -23.40%E -7.09%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.77% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.55% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |