La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Bolton Wanderers v Luton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bolton Wanderers (Local)
Predicción 42.03%2.38momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.883%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.01%42.09%41.87%43.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.242.3348.78%44.88%44.64%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luton (Visitante)
Predicción 34.75%2.88momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.79%34.74%34.85%36.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.652.7840.00%37.73%37.74%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.21%4.31momio equitativo
EV +2.14%
Ventaja +0.486%
Kelly +0.629%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.31%23.17%23.28%26.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.983.954.4030.30%25.13%25.32%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.14%E +0.486%K +0.629%G +0.013% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.13%EV -5.82%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV +0.514%E +0.119%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -6.87%E -2.56%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:46 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.67%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.14%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:23 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.87%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -23.40%E -7.09%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.77% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.55% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |