Школа коэффициентов

Bolton Wanderers v Luton

Начало: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Итог: Bolton Wanderers 2–3 Luton

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.03%2.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.06%
Преимущество -0.883%
Kelly -1.55%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.01%42.09%41.87%43.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.232.242.3348.78%44.88%44.64%42.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Luton (Гости)

Прогноз 34.75%2.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.39%
Преимущество -1.22%
Kelly -1.90%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.78

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.79%34.74%34.85%36.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.652.652.7840.00%37.73%37.74%35.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 23.21%4.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.14%
Преимущество +0.486%
Kelly +0.629%
Рост +0.013%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.31%23.17%23.28%26.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.983.954.4030.30%25.13%25.32%22.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.14%E +0.486%K +0.629%G +0.013%6.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.13%EV -5.82%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV +0.514%E +0.119%K +0.154%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -6.87%E -2.56%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:46
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.67%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.14%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:25
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 12:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:55
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:23
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.87%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:25
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 12:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -23.40%E -7.09%K -10.17%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.77%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.55%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:56