Szkoła Kursów

Bolton Wanderers v Luton

Początek: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Bolton Wanderers 2–3 Luton

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 42.03%2.38kurs godziwy
EV -2.06%
Przewaga -0.883%
Kelly -1.55%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.01%42.09%41.87%43.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.052.232.242.3348.78%44.88%44.64%42.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Luton (Goście)

Prognoza 34.75%2.88kurs godziwy
EV -3.39%
Przewaga -1.22%
Kelly -1.90%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.78

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.79%34.74%34.85%36.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.652.652.7840.00%37.73%37.74%35.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.21%4.31kurs godziwy
EV +2.14%
Przewaga +0.486%
Kelly +0.629%
Wzrost +0.013%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.31%23.17%23.28%26.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.983.954.4030.30%25.13%25.32%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.14%E +0.486%K +0.629%G +0.013%6.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.13%EV -5.82%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV +0.514%E +0.119%K +0.154%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -6.87%E -2.56%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:46
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.67%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.14%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:25
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 12:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:55
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:23
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.87%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:25
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 12:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -23.40%E -7.09%K -10.17%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.77%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.55%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:56