Die Schule der Quoten

Bolton Wanderers v Luton

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Endstand: Bolton Wanderers 2–3 Luton

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Heim)

Prognose 42.03%2.38faire Quote
EV -2.06%
Vorteil -0.883%
Kelly -1.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.01%42.09%41.87%43.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.052.232.242.3348.78%44.88%44.64%42.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Luton (Auswärts)

Prognose 34.75%2.88faire Quote
EV -3.39%
Vorteil -1.22%
Kelly -1.90%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.78

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.79%34.74%34.85%36.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.502.652.652.7840.00%37.73%37.74%35.97%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.21%4.31faire Quote
EV +2.14%
Vorteil +0.486%
Kelly +0.629%
Wachstum +0.013%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.31%23.17%23.28%26.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.983.954.4030.30%25.13%25.32%22.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.14%E +0.486%K +0.629%G +0.013%6.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.13%EV -5.82%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV +0.514%E +0.119%K +0.154%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -6.87%E -2.56%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:46
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.67%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.14%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:25
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 12:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:55
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:23
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.87%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:25
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 12:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -23.40%E -7.09%K -10.17%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.77%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.55%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:56